As instituições ‚parecem ter perdido‘ no rali do Bitcoin para um novo recorde histórico: relatório

Os investidores institucionais parecem ter geralmente perdido a recuperação do bitcoin para uma nova alta histórica acima de US $ 24.000, enquanto os investidores de varejo estavam alavancando suas posições compradas, as instituições estavam cortando as suas e realizando lucros.

De acordo com um relatório publicado pela OKEx Insight , os contratos em aberto atingiram um novo recorde de US $ 8,9 bilhões no fim de semana, e a OKEx liderou com US $ 1,6 bilhão em contratos em aberto.

Da mesma forma, os swaps perpétuos do BTC viram seu preço de mercado exceder o preço do índice à medida que as taxas de financiamento atingiam um novo máximo

De acordo com o OKEx Insight, as taxas de financiamento excessivas indicam uma alavancagem crescente no mercado, o que implica que os investidores de varejo que negociam em bolsas de criptomoedas estavam alavancando suas posições compradas à medida que o preço do BTC subia para seu novo máximo histórico.

Citando dados da Chicago Mercantile Exchange, que terminou pouco antes do BTC ultrapassar os US $ 20.000, a OKEx observou que os contratos em aberto „diminuíram consistentemente nos últimos três períodos de relatório“, o que „continua a mostrar que os investidores institucionais estavam realizando lucros e que, em grande parte, perdeu o último rali. ”

As posições compradas dos gestores de ativos, acrescenta o relatório, caíram de 544 para 492 antes da recuperação, enquanto as posições curtas aumentaram de m11 para 26.

As posições compradas dos fundos alavancados diminuíram de 4.365 para 3.946, enquanto as posições curtas diminuíram de 9.354 para 8.702

A OKEx Insight escreve que a queda dessas posições e o aumento das posições vendidas indicam que os gestores de ativos e fundos alavancados “falharam em antecipar o aumento dos preços” e julgaram mal o rompimento para cima do mercado, provavelmente acreditando que a resistência de $ 20.000 se manteria.

Conforme a data de liquidação de futuros e opções trimestrais está se aproximando, mais volatilidade no mercado é esperada, uma vez que um grande número de opções expirando pode levar o preço a se mover em direção ao ponto “Max Pain”, que é o preço de exercício com o contrato mais aberto coloca e chama.

O preço Max Pain, escreveu a OKEx, é de cerca de US $ 23.750, e um movimento em direção a ele “causaria perda financeira para o maior número de detentores de opções no vencimento.

L’intérêt record des options sur les bitcoins de 6,5 milliards de dollars suit le plus haut niveau jamais atteint par la CTB

L’intérêt des options sur les bitcoins a atteint un niveau record de 6,5 milliards de dollars alors que les investisseurs continuent d’augmenter leurs paris optimistes à long terme.

L’intérêt ouvert sur les contrats d’options sur Bitcoin (BTC) a atteint un nouveau sommet historique à 6,5 milliards de dollars le 17 décembre. Ce chiffre représente une multiplication par trois par rapport à il y a 90 jours et est la preuve que le marché a connu une croissance significative au cours des six derniers mois.

Les options Bitcoin totalisent l’intérêt ouvert. Source : cryptorank.io
Les investisseurs doivent garder à l’esprit que même si un intérêt ouvert de 6,5 milliards de dollars est un chiffre impressionnant, cela ne signifie pas nécessairement que les investisseurs professionnels sont haussiers ou baissiers.

Les options d’achat offrent aux acheteurs la possibilité de faire jouer un effet de levier sans courir le risque d’une liquidation. Quant aux options de vente, elles constituent un excellent moyen de se prémunir contre une éventuelle liquidation future. Ainsi, les deux s’ajoutent au total des intérêts en cours, comme le montre le chiffre actuel.

Un fait plus intéressant à analyser est que le profil des options dont l’échéance est fixée aux 30 prochains jours diffère complètement de celui des options à plus long terme. La hausse de 63 % de Bitcoin depuis novembre a certainement contribué à cette distorsion, car les grèves de 22 000 $ et plus n’étaient pas fréquentes.

Par conséquent, un intérêt ouvert aussi important près du strike de 16 000 $ peut s’expliquer par les niveaux du marché avant le rallye.

Remarquez comment, après le récent rallye, un volume décent est passé de 24 000 $ à 28 000 $, pour un total de 14 800 contrats BTC. Contrairement aux options d’achat ultra-bullish au-dessus de 32 000 $, ces options ne sont pas bon marché.

Cela signifie que quelqu’un a effectivement payé 1 200 $ pour avoir la possibilité d’acquérir Bitcoin pour 24 000 $ le 25 décembre, moins de dix jours après l’expiration. À titre de comparaison, c’est dix fois plus que l’option d’achat de 32 000 $ négociée.

Bien qu’il soit encore tôt pour comprendre comment les traders professionnels se positionnent pour l’expiration du vendredi 25 décembre, les primes payées sur ces options semblent excessives pour une période aussi courte.

Les options à plus long terme sont encore plus haussières

Une tendance très différente se dessine lorsque l’on se concentre exclusivement sur les échéances de plus de 30 jours qui favorisent les appels ultra-haussiers. Contrairement aux options à court terme, elles ne sont pas bon marché, même si elles exigent une hausse de 70 % ou plus.

Cette fois-ci, le strike de 36 000 $ domine, suivi par le niveau incroyablement optimiste de 52 000 $. Ces options exigent une hausse de 40 % ou plus sur 52 900 contrats BTC, pour un total de 1,2 milliard de dollars d’intérêts ouverts.

La plus grande position d’intérêt ouverte pour l’option d’achat de 36 000 $ se situe à l’échéance du 29 janvier. Celles-ci se sont échangées récemment à 690 $ la pièce, ce qui en fait un pari très risqué.

Au lieu d’évaluer l’optimisme des investisseurs en fonction du montant des options d’achat achetées, les investisseurs devraient se tourner vers l’indicateur de biais. Il faut garder à l’esprit que les options ultra-haussières sont relativement bon marché pour des échéances de 40 à 50 jours, comme le 25 janvier.

L’indicateur de biais montre que les investisseurs sont moins haussiers
Lors de l’analyse des options, l’inclinaison delta de 30 à 20 % est la mesure la plus pertinente. Cet indicateur compare les options d’achat (buy) et de vente (put) côte à côte.

Un écart delta de 10 % indique que les options d’achat se négocient à un prix supérieur à celui des options de vente plus baissières/neutres. En revanche, un écart négatif se traduit par un coût plus élevé de la protection contre la baisse, ce qui indique un caractère baissier.

Les options Deribit Bitcoin présentent un écart delta de 30 à 20 %. Source : genesisvolatility.io
Selon les données ci-dessus, la dernière fois qu’un sentiment baissier est apparu, c’était le 26 novembre, alors que la CTB a chuté de 15 %, testant le niveau de 16 200 $. Cela a été suivi d’une période d’optimisme extrême lorsque le delta de 30 à 20 % a dépassé 25.

Cet indicateur est la preuve la plus substantielle dont un trader intéressé par les produits dérivés a besoin pour reconnaître le sentiment actuel entourant les options Bitcoin. Chaque fois qu’il dépasse 15, il reflète la crainte d’une éventuelle hausse des prix de la part des bureaux d’arbitrage et des professionnels, et est donc considéré comme haussier.

Par conséquent, le récent ajustement à 10 de 15 points alors que Bitcoin a atteint un nouveau record à 23 888 $ indique un marché sain où les investisseurs ne sont pas encore devenus trop optimistes.

Les points de vue et opinions exprimés ici sont uniquement ceux de l’auteur et ne reflètent pas nécessairement les vues de Cointelegraph. Tout investissement et toute transaction comporte un risque. Vous devez effectuer vos propres recherches lorsque vous prenez une décision.

Immutable privacy protocol based on Ethereum proposes a system of governance

A proxy system against immutable intelligent contracts will allow internal parameters to be changed.

Tornado.Cash, the Ethereum’s blending service that earlier this year implemented smart, completely unalterable contracts, proposed a governance system powered by its own TORN tokens.

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According to a December 18 publication, the proposal will put the administration of the protocol in the hands of its user community.

An initial distribution of 10 million TORN will be divided between the first users and developers, a DAO treasury and anonymous miners over the next five years.

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Anonymous miners increase the efficiency of the service and act by providing liquidity to a degree similar to what happens in decentralized finance protocols.

However, as standard liquidity mining would disclose information about user deposits in the pool, the proposal would apply a two-stage shielded system to preserve privacy.

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Users will accumulate anonymity points (AP) in a private account, which will be convertible to TORN once they accumulate enough.

To enable anonymous mining, Tornado.Cash requires additional metadata, such as block numbers per transaction. This is achieved by adding a proxy against the smart immutable contract that captures this data.

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This proxy is also the method by which governance proposals, after being approved by the vote of the TORN holders, would change any of the internal parameters of the protocol. Although smart contracts are unchangeable, the proxy would allow them to be replaced with a new version if the community so decided.

At this stage the code for the proposed change was written and published in GitHub for the community to consider.

Itaipu Hydroelectric Binacional will give Bitcoin as an event award

The event starts next week and will attract programmers to the online version of the competition.

Considered one of the five largest hydroelectric plants in Brazil, Itaipu Binacional will give Bitcoin as a prize to participants of an event. Aimed as one of the largest technology events in Brazil, Latinoware 2020 will start next week.

In 2020, Latinoware reaches its 17th edition, this time totally online due to the pandemic. The Latin American Congress on Free Software and Open Technologies is already a real reference of innovation in the country.

The event will start on December 2nd, with the end on the 4th. During the three days, there will be 110 lectures available to the participants, who will still be able to participate in challenges.

Those who know about programming, cyber security, among others, may win some Bitcoins.

Event promoted by Itaipu Binacional will give Bitcoin to challenge participants

Many people still can’t buy Bitcoin, but they are looking for ways to earn digital currency. And in some events over the past few years it has been possible to take part in challenges in exchange for digital currency.

Next week, even, Latinoware 2020 comes with another opportunity for those interested. With registration still open and free, participants will have the opportunity to win prizes in two competitions: CTF Challenge and the Hackathon LW2020.

The first, the CTF Challenge, will be divided into two stages, called „Jeopardy“ and „King of the hill“. In the case of Jeopardy, competitors will put their knowledge on information security such as reverse engineering, code analysis, encryption, web hacking, networks, among others, to the test.

Competitors will then be asked questions and answers on this challenge. Entries can be made individually or in groups in this competition to Immediate Edge. In addition, to participate you must choose to be either Jedi or Lord Sith, a joke with the movie Star Wars.

„The best runners up will receive prizes in bitcoins (BTC): 1st place (R$ 800.00 in BTC); 2nd place (R$ 700.00 in BTC); 3rd place: R$ 400.00 in (BTC); 4th to 10th place (R$ 200.00 in BTC),“ said the organization of Latinoware 2020.

The three best competitors in Jeopardy will also have the opportunity to participate in King of the Hill. In this competition, the competitors will receive a vulnerable computer and must reach the root user of the machine first. Whoever wins, gets another „Bitcoin ballad“.

„The time is much shorter and only the best ranked will receive the prize in bitcoins (R$2,000.00 in BTC),“ said the event when presenting the rules to participants.

Considering the price of Bitcoin today, where each unit of currency is already worth more than R$ 104,000, the King of the Hill winner will win around BTC 0.019 (R$ 2,000).

Whoever creates a digital solution to help jobseekers will also be rewarded

The second competition will be the Hackathon LW2020, which aims to encourage the creation of a digital solution for those seeking their first job. Developers and designers are invited to participate, either professionals or students.

Who can show an interesting idea to help young people, especially during the pandemic, could win up to R$ 4 thousand. Hackathon’s award, however, was not clear in the rules whether it will be paid in Bitcoin or Brazilian Real.

„The Hackathon Latinoware prize will be in cash for the three best ranks: 1st place (R$ 4,000.00); 2nd place (R$ 2,500.00); 3rd place (R$ 2,000.00),“ said Latinoware 2020

R$ 800 thousand disappear from Ceasa and company investigates if money was transformed in Bitcoin

The money disappeared from the Ceasa cashier at the end of 2019 and may have been used to buy cryptomycins.

Ceasa de Campinas – SP is investigating the sum of $ 800 thousand of the company’s cash. According to preliminary data about the case, the money could have been transformed in Bitcoin, still in November 2019.

With the sum of $ 800 thousand from the Ceasa cash register, an inquiry was established one year ago. However, the whereabouts of the money hasn’t been clarified yet, and the investigation about the disappearance runs in secrecy, according to Uol.

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Besides $ 800 thousand which supposedly were transformed in Bitcoin, Ceasa’s cashier suffered another defalcation, of $ 200 thousand. In this case, the money was used to pay attorney’s fees in advance.

Money to buy Bitcoin

The investigation about the sum of $ 800 thousand from the cash register of Ceasa de Campinas – SP points out that the money was taken from the company and later used to buy Bitcoin.

Although it is still in course, the investigation about the case hasn’t offered details about names of possible involved in the money that disappeared. According to the current president of Ceasa de Campinas – SP, Valter Greve, the disappearance of the money happened before its management at the head of the company.

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Known as a food supply center, Ceasa de Campinas – SP still investigates the payment of $ 200 thousand in attorney’s fees. The inquiry about the case reports that the payment, taken also from the Ceasa cash register, happened in an anticipated way.

$ 200 thousand in advance

Besides the money that was supposedly used to buy Bitcoin, the cashier at Ceasa de Campinas – SP suffered another embezzlement in 2019. The investigation suggests that R$ 200 thousand were paid in advance in fees to the lawyer Daniel Freire Santini.

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In fact, the value of $ 200 thousand corresponds to the value due by Ceasa to the lawyer, who represents the company in a judicial process. However, as the lawsuit related to the payment of the fees hasn’t been judged yet, this money still couldn’t be paid by the company.

In other words, the lawyer received $ 200 thousand in advance. Being that, in case of victory for Ceasa in the lawsuit, generally who pays the fees is the losing party in the lawsuit.

Right after the repercussion on the investigation of the case, the lawyer Daniel Freire Santini said that the money could be returned, „in case of failure reversion“. This way, in the total there is US$ 1 million missing from Ceasa’s cash register which believes that 80% of this value was used to buy Bitcoin.

Adopción de Bitcoin: Gigantescos empresarios y multimillonarios apoyan la criptocracia en medio de la tendencia alcista

Coin IdolBitcoin podría convertirse en una buena forma de almacenar la riqueza.El carro de la criptocracia no ha dejado fuera a algunos de los prominentes hombres de negocios del campo tradicional. La mayoría de ellos se están dando cuenta de los beneficios de las monedas digitales y la cadena de bloqueo, la tecnología subyacente detrás de Bitcoin.

En una entrevista con Fortune, el fundador de Skype, una aplicación de comunicación Jaan Tallinn, anunció que almacena la mayor parte de su riqueza en Bitcoin (BTC), la principal criptodivisa del mundo por capitalización de mercado.

Después de usar Bitcoin durante un par de años, Tallinn lo apoyó públicamente diciendo que usa la cripto moneda para almacenar parte de su riqueza. Sin embargo, el empresario no tiene actualmente planes de ir más allá en su apoyo que la compra de algunas monedas. Dijo que Skype no participará en el desarrollo o uso de Bitcoin o cualquier tipo de moneda digital.

En 2018, entregó alrededor de 400 mil dólares de Ethereum (ETH) a la Facultad de Inteligencia Artificial, una empresa con sede en Londres, para gestionar los riesgos de la Inteligencia Artificial. A principios de este año, la compañía donó unos 300k dólares de BTC para ayudar en el desarrollo de un proyecto de detección de terrorismo mediante sistemas de Inteligencia Artificial.

Uso generalizado de la criptografía

Hay otros empresarios prominentes que dirigen las empresas más grandes del mundo que apoyan públicamente la criptografía o mantienen su riqueza en ella. Sólo en 2020, varios ejecutivos como Jeffrey Gundlach, Bill Miller, Paul Tudor Jones, así como la celebridad estadounidense Kevin Hart se unieron a la industria de la cripto-moneda. Además, la senadora estadounidense Cynthia Lummis reveló que tales innovaciones revolucionarias basadas en cadenas de bloques ayudarán a impulsar la economía.

Recientemente, el cofundador y presidente de Intercom, Eoghan McCabe también expresó su amor y apoyo a BTC a través de Twitter y otras plataformas de medios sociales. Anima a más empresas e instituciones bancarias a adoptar el BTC y otras monedas digitales porque esto ayudará a que su uso se extienda ampliamente.

Considerando cómo Bitcoin está funcionando bien en el mercado, algunas personas que odiaban la moneda han empezado a admitir que Bitcoin podría ser un almacén de valor potencial y viable. Según el informe de CoinIdol, una cadena de noticias de bloqueo mundial, Bitcoin ha tenido un aumento de precio del 64% desde enero de 2020. Últimamente, la moneda se está cotizando a unos 18.000 dólares. Esto, junto con un montón de otras razones, provocó que los grandes inversores institucionales incluyeran a BTC en su cartera.

Los multimillonarios globales entran en la industria

Según un anuncio de NewsBTC, Salinas Pliego, el fundador y presidente del Grupo Salinas, un gran conglomerado de medios de comunicación, y el tercer hombre más rico de México, ha invertido el 10% de su cartera de inversiones en Bitcoin. Ha elegido el buque insignia de la criptografía junto con otros activos como el oro.

Otro multimillonario, Stanley Druckenmiller, también anunció su apoyo a BTC la semana pasada. Compró una participación en el buque insignia de la criptografía, obviamente motivado por el fuerte aumento de su precio junto con un mayor sentimiento alcista, lo que hace que el activo sea altamente rentable.

Si la tendencia al alza es lo suficientemente duradera, es probable que Bitcoin atraiga a más inversores institucionales, fundadores de grandes y populares empresas, líderes de instituciones financieras de las finanzas tradicionales, así como a otros destacados actores empresariales que desean mantener y multiplicar su riqueza.